Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 214.212892 250.524861 292.832796 346.195528 412.309620 492.330361 597.736720
2025-07-27 166.414241 211.063312 268.819401 350.585313 466.011124 627.366173 877.967912
2025-08-03 142.170387 190.386167 257.376415 360.329492 520.438450 770.831205 1216.404498
2025-08-10 123.558720 172.348046 243.924049 361.230205 558.528215 897.617419 1578.147706
2025-08-17 110.885063 160.096526 235.731675 366.874903 603.573501 1047.768611 2050.179423
2025-08-24 99.469587 147.714670 224.765823 364.849770 633.543270 1178.771075 2550.666687
2025-08-31 90.605399 137.956679 216.225811 364.808658 666.421493 1326.043310 3176.336935
2025-09-07 84.065476 131.033872 211.234844 369.940033 710.514807 1513.763684 4039.761761
2025-09-14 75.373323 119.417014 196.356312 353.164797 703.466724 1577.170369 4577.242416
2025-09-21 70.178269 113.244156 190.438918 353.173049 734.113644 1749.598015 5636.281557
2025-09-28 66.052890 108.489832 186.484269 356.458027 773.399955 1963.323107 7078.163710
2025-10-05 64.944446 109.042468 192.669850 382.778081 878.253307 2427.036211 10263.801885
2025-10-12 63.346539 108.979839 198.597337 412.320098 1010.003129 3094.909034 16118.850210
2025-10-19 59.500943 104.252747 194.496647 417.795805 1077.884803 3596.274234 22526.735814
2025-10-26 56.635248 101.088430 193.186103 429.942002 1172.099547 4295.175728 33489.324722
2025-11-02 53.251249 96.489827 188.071877 431.065690 1231.472910 4900.639485 47027.981792
2025-11-09 50.630304 93.167575 185.340504 438.111371 1315.789160 5735.961741 70571.727077
2025-11-16 47.661426 88.807377 179.635050 435.582894 1364.441078 6439.023452 100182.753943
2025-11-23 45.132636 85.137233 175.082360 435.531572 1424.149124 7305.943888 148710.287223
2025-11-30 43.191876 82.551236 172.802274 441.939853 1515.298441 8551.463127 244278.371671
2025-12-07 39.998747 76.929750 162.416706 421.009389 1477.665380 8751.565169 301299.186841
2025-12-14 38.132988 74.117579 158.749253 421.019671 1538.295205 9919.966737 488689.641960
2025-12-21 36.608990 71.943192 156.445289 425.113972 1622.175533 11503.949382 891733.268548